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~ USA Headed for a 5th Revolution! Why?

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Category Archives: Education Issues

#523. Artificial Intelligence: Friend or Foe? We Don’t Know.

13 Sunday Apr 2025

Posted by Jordan Abel in Causes of the Revolution, Education Issues, Societal Issues, Trump 47, Uncategorized

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Tags

ai, artificial-intelligence, chatgpt, technology

Welcome to a discussion about the 5th Revolution in the US, which I’ve titled the “Revenge Revolution.” For more about the Revenge Revolution and the author, click “About the Author” tab.  Periodically I write a “sense check” about the status of the Revolution. The previous “sense check” was ENTRY #519. Yes, we are currently embroiled in the “Revenge Revolution.”

BEGIN ENTRY #523: AI has gotten a lot of ink in the past few years. Some people tout AI as the next major advancement in civilization, while others claim AI will accelerate the decline of civilization.  So, who’s right?

At this point, we don’t know. However, it seems possible that AI could reduce man’s (generic “man”) ability to think and ability to determine what is a reasonable solution to a problem. Yes, AI can help solve many problems. AI is an excellent tool for getting answers to questions.

The dilemma is whether or not the person asking AI for the answers needs to have a reasonably good understanding of the topic AI is being asked to address. Without that understanding, how does one know if the response is reasonable or AI is “hallucinating” – i.e., making up the answer. 

An example: in preparing for this blog entry, I asked AI the following “Draft a 2-page document describing how unreasonably high tariffs can affect the economy.” (Hint: the more precise the instructions to AI, the more likely you’ll get a reasonable response.)

AI’s response, which was provided in seconds, was, in my view, an excellent summary of the possible impact of unreasonably high tariffs. (Click link for AI response.)

Having studied economics and spent many years applying economics to guide critical business decisions helped provide me with a perspective to assess the credibility of the AI response. Without that education and experience, I would not have known to what extent the response was reasonable, or to what extent AI was hallucinating, which it does periodically.

The answer to the question, “Is AI a friend or foe?” will be greatly influenced by the extent to which society begins to substitute AI for basic learning. We are already experiencing some decline in the ability of the population to reason. In my view, that decline has been accelerated, in part, by the shift toward more emphasis on STEM (Science. Technology, Engineering, Math) education and less emphasis on the liberal arts. Much content of STEM is binary – yes/no, right/wrong.

However, the real world and real relationships are not so clear cut. Depending upon the topic, the “gray area“ between the binary poles can be substantial. Understanding how to operate in the gray area is critical for building relationships, and for the continued survival of civilization. 

Interestingly, understanding how to operate effectively in the gray area is also critical for many STEM situations. Engineering solutions tend to focus on a defined area or application. Yet, almost always the application operates in a much larger, more complex environment.

While the teaching of “systems engineering” begins to address the influence of other variables in that environment, to fully apply the benefits of systems engineering, engineers themselves need to be able to identify likely variables in the environment and their influence on the outcome.

Where does that broader perspective of a problem come from? Learning what is taught in the liberal arts.  Critical thinking comes from understanding interactions that are often based on “fuzzy” variables and “squishy” assumptions. Behaviors within an environment are not binary.

Without systems thinking, problems tend to be viewed as binary, which leads to a zero-sum game. In a binary, zero-sum game world, if one side wins, the other side must lose. In a binary world there is no such thing as “a rising tide lifts all boats.”  In a binary world, a win-win situation is not possible.

While more entries on AI are to come, a key point is if the “organization in charge” – company, political party, group, etc. – views the world with a binary, zero-sum mentality, then all decisions are based on someone, or some group always having to win and someone having to lose.  Such an attitude disenfranchises groups and inevitably leads to a revolution. END #523

Other Topics. Interested in more info about climate change, what’s required to electrify a fleet of cars/trucks, and an array of other topics, visit another page of this website, https://usrevolution5.com/jrd-thought-comments/

#517. More Basic Education Needed to Avoid Electing a TOT as President

26 Thursday Dec 2024

Posted by Jordan Abel in Causes of the Revolution, Education Issues, Societal Issues, Stupid Is as Stupid Does, Uncategorized

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Welcome to a discussion about the 5th Revolution in the US, which I’ve titled the “Revenge Revolution.” For more about the Revenge Revolution and the author, click “About the Author” tab.  Periodically I write a “sense check” about the status of the Revolution, one of which seems to occur about every 50 years in the US.

The previous “sense check” was ENTRY #500. Much has happened since Entry #500 to reinforce my belief we are currently embroiled in US Revolution 5, which I’ve labeled the “Revenge Revolution.”

BEGIN ENTRY #517: The American voting public is stupid. Such a statement might seem harsh and elitist. And maybe so.  But how else does one explain electing a fraudster, convicted felon, serial liar with no known positive attributes to become president, again?

Besides, insults seem to be the only type of statements MAGAts understand. Clearly, logic and taking the high road were ineffective approaches.

I’ll cut some slack to those who voted for Trump the first time, but not the second. All the negative attributes of Trump cautioned about before the 2016 election, and widely documented in an array of publications over the years, were proved correct during the four years of his administration. Those negative attributes were reinforced during the Biden administration and even more apparent during the campaign against Kamala Harris.

Where was the much of the voting public during the last eight years? Apparently, being brainwashed even more by Fox Misinformation Network. (Just in case you missed it, Fox agreed in April 2023 to pay Dominion Voting Systems $785 million to settle a defamation suit stemming from Fox promoting fraudulent information about Dominion’s voting machines in the 2020 election.)

OK, so you voted for Trump in 2024 because you were frustrated with some of the Biden administration policies, or maybe you couldn’t stand the idea of a black woman as president.  The policies that were so frustrating?  The ones that resulted in strong economic growth, the lowest unemployment rate in more than 50 years, a record high for the stock market, and legislation  to repair and expand infrastructure. 

Recall all the “infrastructure” programs under Trump that got enacted?  You don’t recall any?  At least you have some memory left because there were none, even though Trump controlled both houses of Congress for part of his term and had regular “infrastructure” sessions.

But, no, none of the accomplishments of the Biden/Harris administration mattered.  MAGAts were focused on real issues, like Biden administration’s commitment to give some rights to a tiny percentage of the population who’s transgender.  MAGAts know transgenders are not real people, so why give them rights?

MAGAts, why don’t you put on your big boy pants and focus on issues that matter.  Regardless of your political views, every administration is going to implement some policies you disagree with. What should be criteria for evaluating is whether the policies benefit the citizenry of the country and not a select group of politicians, or say the very wealthy, like Trump’s tax cuts did.

We all need to keep in mind citizens have equal protection under the law. While one might not agree with another’s personal behavior, as a society, we have laws to protect individual rights. Rights are defined by the Constitution.  Rights are not defined by some short-term president, some blowhard politician or some religious group.

In the Bill of Rights – notice the name – Amendment I of the US Constitution reads as follows, “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or the press, or the right of the people peacefully to assemble, and to petition the government for the redress of grievances.”  That’s the entire First Amendment.

For those who slept through American History class from elementary school through high school, the pilgrims left England and came to America to be able to establish and enjoy freedom of religion. The US was not founded based on a single religion.

For those who claim because many of the basic laws in the US are consistent with the 10 Commandments, the US was therefore founded on Christianity.  If you’re in that group, please read the books of Exodus and Deuteronomy not in the Trump bible but as written in the Torah. If one wants to pick a religion as the foundation for the US, the logical choice would be Judaism and not Christianity.  

Where is the lesson from this discussion? Clearly more educated voters would make better choices when selecting candidates for office. My question to those who voted for Trump, especially a second time, “Do you really understand who Trump is and what he wants to do?”  “Are you prepared for the chaos that will occur under his new administration?”

Yes, most everyone agrees there are parts of the government that could be improved. But, improvements are needed in most organizations, relationships, and even structures. Because your house needs a few repairs, do you destroy it? Destroying something is always easier than fixing it.  Once destroyed, rebuilding takes more time and effort than repairing and results in more disruption to normal operations. 

What do we have with Trump and his incoming administration?  Conan the Barbarian on steroids.  Assume your bathroom faucet is leaking. You call a plumber named Trump.  Does Trump the plumber fix the leak in the faucet?  No, he tears down your house.

Funny, ha, ha it isn’t. Keep in mind Trump is not loyal to anyone.  He does not care if you voted for him.  You can quickly become a target and be on the receiving end of the viciousness of some of Trump’s policies. 

What a small majority of the public has done is vote to assign responsibility for the welfare of the country and much of the world to someone with the maturity and intellect of a 6-year-old spoiled brat.  The MAGAts have elected a TOT to help determine everyone’s future.  The TOT is Trump the Orange Tyrant. END ENTRY #517

Other Topics. Interested in more info about climate change, what’s required to electrify a fleet of cars/trucks, and an array of other topics, visit another page of this website, https://usrevolution5.com/jrd-thought-comments/

#516. Making American Education Great Again

28 Thursday Nov 2024

Posted by Jordan Abel in Common Sense Policies, Education Issues, Societal Issues, Uncategorized

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Welcome to a discussion about the upcoming 5th Revolution in the US, which I’ve titled the “Revenge Revolution.” For more about the Revenge Revolution and the author, click “About the Author” tab.  Periodically I write a “sense check” to assess whether a revolution in the US is possible or whether the entire exercise is based on a statistical aberration — i.e., a roughly 50-year cycle between major upheavals in the US. 

The previous “sense check” was ENTRY #500. Much has happened since Entry #500 to reinforce my belief we are currently embroiled in US Revolution 5, which I’ve labeled the “Revenge Revolution.”

BEGIN ENTRY #516: The gap between entries #515 and #516 was intentional, but longer than expected. A combination of waiting for the election results and another project that has essentially become full-time – and its pro bono, but a good cause.

Recent blog entries have focused on the value of education in improving economic well-being of different groups. The entries suggested the black community would do well to follow the lead of most every other ethnic group by emphasizing education for children.

After the 2024 presidential election, I’m convinced more than ever that the proper primary and secondary education is a key to economic well-being for all Americans. I’m also convinced that the education curriculum needs to revert to what was once a standard.

Based on the logic of how a large percentage of the population decided which presidential candidate to support in 2024, it is clear that America lacks a basic knowledge of history, civics, the law and other social sciences.

An unintended consequence of the effort to increase education in STEM courses – science, technology, engineering, mathematics – has been to eliminate subjects that help people learn how to think about societal issues.

Some anecdotal evidence from the election seems to point out how many people cannot connect two dots, let alone three dots. Examples:

Why did a surprisingly large percentage of blacks vote for Trump? An oft-cited response was “what have the Democrats done for me lately?”

Dot #1 – Trump does not like, nor has he supported blacks. If you have any doubts, check the list of “shithole” countries cited by Trump. Also check how Trump has repeatedly sided with and endorsed all-white ultranationalist groups.

Dot #2 – all of Trump’s proclaimed economic policies favor the wealthy. As a black, are you ready to experience major cuts in an array of social programs? And, are you ready to continue to support rulings from Trump-appointed judges to suppress voting?

Blacks were not alone in their strange voting logic. A large percentage of white seniors favored Trump.

For white seniors, do you think Trump will protect Social Security and Medicare? His cabinet nominees should not be a surprise to anyone who reads and just doesn’t get all their news from Fox.

OK, so older whites, particularly men, don’t like black women. But do you dislike a black woman so much that you’ll vote for a guy whose actions could potentially have a material negative impact on your economic well-being? The answer is “yes.”

The rationale cited by blacks, particularly men, and white seniors for voting for Trump defies logic 101. I believe it defies logic because too many people have no, or at best, have a very limited understanding of economics, history, civics, literature and other topics that enable one to think through a problem.

As a country, if we want to protect democracy and continue to increase economically, then we need to update the education curriculum to include the social sciences. People might claim that more emphasis on social sciences is elitist and even socialist.

If you’re in that camp, then I suggest you revisit the education curriculum in the era that Trump claims as America being “great.” As you review the courses, you’ll be surprised at what constituted a basic education for all students.

You might also be surprised at the array of “skilled trades” that were taught in high school. These students often were able to work in the trades immediately after high school. A high percentage of those jobs when “America was great” were in the…yikes!…union.

As we return to a basic core curriculum, we can adjust the content of the STEM subjects to address current challenges facing American industry. Doing so will help all future generations. All for now. END ENTRY #516

Other Topics. Interested in more info about climate change, what’s required to electrify a fleet of cars/trucks, and an array of other topics, visit another page of this website, https://usrevolution5.com/jrd-thought-comments/

#507 Road to Repairing Democracy #2. Mandatory Civics before Graduation.

04 Saturday May 2024

Posted by Jordan Abel in Education Issues, Societal Issues, Uncategorized

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Welcome to a discussion about the upcoming 5th Revolution in the US, which I’ve titled the “Revenge Revolution.” For more about the Revenge Revolution and the author, click “About the Author” tab.  Periodically I write a “sense check” to assess whether a revolution in the US is possible or whether the entire exercise is based on a statistical aberration — i.e., a roughly 50-year cycle between major upheavals in the US. The previous “sense check” was ENTRY #500.

BEGIN #507: In the previous entry, I indicated an intent was to publish a series of ideas about how to rebuild American democracy.  While I had a general idea about what suggestions to put forth, no issue stood out aside from politics.

Well, one issue has now  jumped out, or crawled out as it were. The event should not be a surprise to anyone who is 21 or older, and by now no surprise to most who are younger.

The event occurs with such regularity it can be predicted accurately for decades ahead.  Depending upon your locale in the US, the event occurs every 13 or 17 years.  In some lucky locations, both events occur.

Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you’d be hard-pressed to miss the news about cicadas emerging from the ground.  Yes, these little guys stay underground for 13 or 17 years, then come out and party for 4-6 weeks.

The partying gets annoying and awfully loud, and likely includes a lot of sex.  After all, the cicadas are teenage partygoers.  Also, like teenagers, the cicadas get into all kinds of places that they shouldn’t be, including occasionally jumping on to your shirt collar, then crawling inside.

Cicadas don’t bite – at least I’ve never been bitten – and as far as I know, do not transmit any infectious diseases. But they are still annoying.

We live in an area with an extensive number of trees. These trees are old enough that cicadas probably have used them for several of their 13/17-year cycles.

All this activity makes for great national and local news stories and casual conversations.   With all that, do you think some people still don’t know about the cicadas’ party?  Unfortunately, yes.

In the Nextdoor app a surprising number of people have made comments along the lines of, “Does anyone else hear that grinding sound? And where’s the noise coming from? “

In response to an explanation provided, some of the brain-dead people who’ve asked the question then reinforce their Ignorance by such explanations as they did not know about the cicadas because of spending too much time spent with the kids or some other nonsensical reason.

If you don’t know something, spending 15 seconds on a search engine often provides a credible answer. The people who use the Nextdoor app obviously have access to the Internet.  And we expect them to study candidates before voting?

 Another example of being braindead is a fellow alum from that technology school on the Charles River in Cambridge, MA. The guy is obviously bright – or was at one time – and I am embarrassed to tell this story. 

During a recent conversation he wondered why Democrats were pursuing prosecuting Trump in Manhattan over a simple business fraud case. His rationale was that everyone in business commits fraud, and no one was really hurt by Trump’s actions. 

Excuse me. The trial is not about fraud or even about hush money.  The trial is about election  interference. The fraud case against Trump was already decided with his substantial financial penalty – at least $175 million and possibly $500+ million.  And, no, the trial is not a Democratic political issue. Election interference and fraud are legal issues that should be of interest to all citizens, regardless of political party.

There are many other examples of “what were they thinking?” beyond the couple cited. Where does such lack of thinking lead us?

To begin to solve the problem of lack of logical thinking, the recommendation is that before being able to graduate from high school, everyone should have to pass a test on the major components of the US Constitution.  Prior to the exam, each student would have at least one semester about the history of the US Constitution, how it has evolved and been amended over the years and how it is being interpreted today.

Ideally, civics classes would begin in 7th or 8th grade. Courses would include participating as an elected representative in a mock government.  The elected representatives would be charged with trying to solve real-world problems.

As part of the course, students would be required to read about local events.  The problems required to solve could be wide ranging, including such seemingly mundane issues as “does the city government need to do anything special to educate citizens about the emergence of the cicadas?’

One occasionally hears a statement along the lines of, “you can’t legislate away stupid.“  True, but a good start would be teaching students how to learn about issues and to learn how to solve problems rather than trying to blame someone else.  And another result of this effort might be students learning how to work together – and then teaching adults.

All for now. Another major idea next entry. END #507

Other Topics. Interested in more info about climate change, what’s required to electrify a fleet of cars/trucks, and an array of other topics, visit another page of this website, https://usrevolution5.com/jrd-thought-comments/

#501 Quotation Marks Are Killing Education

23 Tuesday Jan 2024

Posted by Jordan Abel in Education Issues, Uncategorized

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Welcome to a discussion about the upcoming 5th Revolution in the US, which I’ve titled the “Revenge Revolution.” For more about the Revenge Revolution and the author, click “About the Author” tab.  Periodically I write a “sense check” to assess whether a revolution in the US is possible or whether the entire exercise is based on a statistical aberration — i.e., a roughly 50-year cycle between major upheavals in the US. The previous “sense check” was ENTRY #500.

BEGIN ENTRY #501: Back after a couple of weeks off. An article in the New York Times 01/14/2024 discussed the emerging battleground in education is focused on to what extent academic papers have proper attributions and citations. You know that those people — the left-leaning academics — have no new ideas and are constantly plagiarizing information. 

Yes, there are some people who don’t cite properly. However valid the discussion, the hype seems blown out of proportion.  Many of the alleged “significant” instances of plagiarism are minor oversights. Writing an academic paper can be grueling, especially for those not schooled in all the requirements. In my thesis at MIT, no doubt there are a couple of instances where I failed to make a proper citation or attribution. I hope not, but given the time crunch, and the relatively young age, I might not have appreciated the importance of doing so.

Right-wind politicians are having a field day by “outing“ so-called progressive academics who have failed to site properly.  An example is Bill Ackman, a wealthy hedge fund manager. Ackman has been a critic of Claudine Gay since she was installed as president of Harvard. What makes Ackman qualified to evaluate another’s academic credentials remains a mystery. But like some people with money, Ackman feels qualified to comment on issues he knows little or nothing about. 

Since all’s fair in love and war, another group then found evidence that Ackman’s wife, a former MIT professor, had not properly attributed some passages in her PhD thesis. Her response was that in the 330-page thesis there were only 100 words or so not properly attributed. She apologized for the “oversight.”

Ackman, apparently satisfied that his wife had made an innocent mistake, but like all zealots unwilling to let things pass, then vowed to study the thesis and other academic papers of every professor at MIT to ensure there was proper attribution.  Little Billy Ackman, go waste your time on something else.

In Ackman’s world, Martin Luther King should have stopped his famous “I Have a Dream” speech and noted that the “promised land” was first mentioned in Exodus, and that MLK’s remarks that he might not get to the “promised land” should have been attributed to Leviticus.

By right-wind standards, Trump in his speeches should attribute some of his remarks to his second-grade reader, and other remarks to his hero, Adolf Hitler.  Of course, MAGAts have a separate set of standards for Trump. 

Fair to say all academics should be a bit more careful about citations. But let’s not throw the baby out with the bathwater. If Republicans zealots had their way, there would be no academic papers, only gut feelings. An example is the effort by Florida governor Ron DeSantis, who prior to dropping out of the presidential race, issued an order that allows certain school districts in Florida to ban that awful book first published by Noah Webster. That book called, yikes, a dictionary.  Why ban Webster’s handiwork?  Because the dictionary might contain words that would influence the behavior of school-age children. 

Anti-education zealots go put on your big boy pants and realize one of the key policies that made America great and different than most other countries was a free, public education. A public education with a curriculum that taught children how to think. END ENTRY #501

Other Topics. Interested in more info about climate change, what’s required to electrify a fleet of cars/trucks, what it was like to work day-to-day with Lee Iacocca and an array of other topics? Visit another page of this website, https://usrevolution5.com/jrd-thought-comments/

#499. Critical Thinking. Uh, What’s That?

23 Saturday Dec 2023

Posted by Jordan Abel in Causes of the Revolution, Education Issues, Possible Solutions, Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Welcome to a discussion about the upcoming 5th Revolution in the US, which I’ve titled the “Revenge Revolution.” For more about the Revenge Revolution and the author, click “About the Author” tab.  Periodically I write a “sense check” to assess whether a revolution in the US is possible or whether the entire exercise is based on a statistical aberration — i.e., a roughly 50-year cycle between major upheavals in the US Entry #476 was the most recent “sense check.”

BEGIN ENTRY #499: For many people, critical thinking is whether I like or agree with how the other person talks, acts or their political views. For this group of people, the world is binary – you either believe what I believe or you’re wrong.

A memorable example of binary thinking was after 09/11 when then President George Bush declared that the US needed to invade Iraq to capture the people responsible for the attack on the Trade Towers and the Pentagon.  In those remarks, Bush proclaimed, “you’re either with us or for the terrorists.” According to Bush, there was no alternative. 

Over the past two decades, such binary thinking – I’m right and if you don’t agree, you are the enemy – has become pervasive in the US. While the binary attitude is most noticeable in politics, especially among Trump MAGAts, such thinking seems to apply to simple everyday situations.

The current polarized environment has made it difficult to try and have a meaningful discussion about concerns over global warming.  If the discussion includes expression of any concerns, then the next challenge is trying to develop and/or to agree on practical solutions.

Interestingly, the amount of formal education of participants does not seem to be a critical factor in whether a person thinks critically.  The differentiator seems to be whether an individual understands their environment and whether he or she can solve problems influencing that environment.

Many people without formal education are astute at solving problems in their environment. People who are considered “street smart“ often have limited formal education. Indigenous peoples often have very limited formal education but have remarkable skills at surviving in often-harsh environments.

We all know people who are “book smart” but have no “street smarts.”  Some of the book-smart people are also quite dogmatic about solutions to whatever problem is at hand, whether they are truly knowledgeable about the subject.  Further, if they do not have a solution, they are good at blaming someone else, or claiming that the problem doesn’t exist.

Two recent examples. When I asked a business colleague if he had any concerns about the effects of global warming, he responded, “no.”  His rationale was he didn’t feel any major impact in his daily life and, besides, the doomsday forecast about the effects of  global warming made by Al Gore earlier in this century had not come true. Therefore, global warming was not real. Well, well, hello Fox News, which for this group has replaced MIT as the new science center.

The second example occurred in a different discussion about possible solutions to global warming. (The primary cause of global warming is a combination of CO2 emissions and leakage of methane, the primary component of natural gas.) One participant in the conversation never addressed the primary sources of global warming but instead was emphatic that any solution to global warming must exclude nuclear power.  Even though nuclear power has no CO2 emissions and operates 24×7 for decades, nuclear must be excluded from any possible solution. 

For him, nuclear was off the table and solar was on the table.  Solar was not just part of the solution, but the only solution. To paraphrase Tarzan, “solar good, nuclear bad.”  As with many non-critical thinkers, which seem to include a substantial portion of zealots, he failed to address all the downsides and extra costs associated with solar.  Whereas neither solar nor nuclear is without some downside, but both are zero CO2 and can help reduce the causes of global warming – but only if one thinks critically.

What has been the cause of the decline the critical thinking? I’ve not studied the issue in detail and my educational background and experience are far afield.  However, I have observed behavior that might provide some guidance.  The behavior could be heavily influenced by an education system that is putting too much emphasis on digital thinking and less on subjects that stimulate critical thinking.

As much as I love STEM courses, these courses reinforce digital thinking – most answers are binary, either right or wrong. Worse, the tools used for teaching entry-level STEM-type courses have become increasingly digitized. When was the last time you saw a cashier make change without having to use the register to calculate the amount? Or the last time you saw someone do division by hand? Or use a slide rule to make a calculation?  You mean, you don’t need a calculator to complete these tasks? 

Another example of the decline in critical thinking, which only occurred to me recently, had been a key part of 7th or 8th grade English classes – diagramming sentences.  While the topic might seem arcane to today’s students, diagramming sentences teaches one how to deconstruct, or pull apart a problem – that is a sentence.  Once apart then the sentence can be reconstructed or revised to achieve its intended purpose. By diagramming sentences, one learns there are multiple ways of conveying thoughts, even if some rules of grammar are rigid.

As far as the topic of the blog, how does the decline in critical thinking affect the effort to avoid US Revolution V, aka the Revenge Revolution?  The Revenge Revolution has already started and will intensify over the next couple of years, especially in late 2024/early 2025.  Any effort to initiate programs to try and teach the US adult population how to think critically will have little, if any, near-term effect on US Revolution V.

However, what we, i.e., societal we, can do is update the curriculum for primary, secondary and post-secondary education to include courses that teach people to think critically.  Learning the basics of how to think critically can start in kindergarten and certainly early grammar school.  The earlier the better that children get exposed to the approach.  The teaching does not have to be complicated and can be geared to everyday situations students face.

For adults, we, again societal we, need to quit voting for candidates for the House, Senate and particularly president, who do not demonstrate an ability to think critically. Otherwise, we will end up without a democracy even more quickly than the track we are on. END ENTRY #499

Other Topics. Interested in more info about climate change, what’s required to electrify a fleet of cars/trucks, what it was like to work day-to-day with Lee Iacocca and an array of other topics? Visit another page of this website, https://usrevolution5.com/jrd-thought-comments/

#484: Why Not? My Kid’s a Legacy and I’ve Donated Lots of Money!

09 Sunday Jul 2023

Posted by Jordan Abel in Education Issues, Societal Issues, Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Welcome to a discussion about the upcoming 5th Revolution in the US, which I’ve titled the “Revenge Revolution.” For more about the Revenge Revolution and the author, Entry #1.  Periodically I write a “sense check” to assess whether a revolution in the US is possible or whether the entire exercise is based on a statistical aberration — i.e., a roughly 50-year cycle between major upheavals in the US Entry #476 was the most recent “sense check.”

BEGIN ENTRY #484: Well, well, well. Wealthy Republicans are beginning to understand that decisions have consequences. Soon after toasting the SCOTUS decision to overturn precedent and ban affirmative action, the Republicans began to realize legacy admissions were now on the chopping block.

No doubt many of the elite schools will find a way around any likely ban on legacy admissions, much like many of those schools will find a way around the ban on affirmative action.

The ban on legacies is supposedly being pursued to ensure equitable admissions at these elite institutions, just like the SCOTUS decision. Ironically, those pushing for a ban on legacy admissions are not thinking about possible consequences just like those pushing to ban affirmative action failed to consider consequences.

Yes, legacy admissions are overwhelmingly from white, wealthy families. But, who do you think donates large chunks of money to the school’s endowment; who do you think helps fund new buildings; and who do you think helps subsidize tuition of students admitted under affirmative action?  Don’t think too long about it. The answer is the families seeking legacy admissions.

What is the “opportunity cost” of denying one legacy admission?  That one legacy admission can generate a significant positive long-term financial impact on the academic institution.  What’s the downside?  Virtually nothing since the legacy rarely goes into a high-profile public position – George W. Bush being an exception – and many of those admitted will go back into the family business or live off a trust fund.

Simple example. The brother of a grammar-school classmate of mine was admitted to a high-profile, smaller private college. The brother was at best marginally qualified.

Why was he admitted? The father agreed to fund construction of a new building on campus.

Those wanting to ban legacy admissions should do the math.  The result of admitting one marginally qualified student was a new building that benefited thousands of students over the life of the building.

Given the benefits derived from preference given to the legacy student, who is being harmed? By the way, the student ended up going back to the family business.

There’s a potential cascading effect of eliminating any preferential treatment. Where does one draw the line allowing the institution to favor certain students academically and not others?  If affirmative action is eliminated for academic admission and then legacy admissions, the next logical step is to eliminate preferential treatment for athletes. 

Does anyone really think that 10 of the 12 members of the basketball team at say Duke University are   academically qualified? Same with athletes recruited for most high-profile football teams.

When the lawsuit is filed to eliminate preferential treatment for athletes, it will be fun to watch the Supreme Court use their pretzel logic to justify why sports admissions should be excluded while affirmative action and legacies are not. It will be even more fun to watch members of Congress react when they realize that athletic admissions to their favorite university have been changed. END ENTRY #484

Other Topics. Interested in more info about climate change, what’s required to electrify a fleet of cars/trucks, what it was like to work day-to-day with Lee Iacocca and an array of other topics? Visit another page of this website, https://usrevolution5.com/jrd-thought-comments/

#473 Is Black History Month Perpetuating Discrimination?

12 Sunday Feb 2023

Posted by Jordan Abel in Education Issues, Rebranding Black Community, Societal Issues, Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Welcome to a discussion about the upcoming 5th Revolution in the US, which I’ve titled the “Revenge Revolution.” For more about the Revenge Revolution and the author, Entry #1.  Periodically I write a “sense check” to assess whether a revolution in the US is possible or whether the entire exercise is based on a statistical aberration — i.e., a roughly 50-year cycle between major upheavals in the US. Entry #430 was the most recent “sense check.”

BEGIN ENTRY #473: For the past few years, I’ve been troubled by the following question. ”Is designating a month, February, as special for studying a particular race, in this case blacks, helping reduce discrimination or inadvertently perpetuating discrimination?“ Today is President Lincoln’s birthday, which seems an appropriate day to raise the question and provide some boundaries for the discussion.

The dilemma, at least from my perspective, seems to arise from what I think is a long-standing goal within the black community – assimilation. Assimilation in the sense of recognition as equals, not assimilation by eliminating blacks as a race.

The original intent of Black History Month seems noble – make US citizens more aware of accomplishments by blacks in the arts, science, humanities, and other areas. And the month seems to address some of those accomplishments.

The month also, intentionally or not, seems filled with articles and claims of “woe is me.”  Articles and commentary that delve into past discrimination, what’s wrong with society today, why blacks are being denied this or denied that.

Granted, I have not spent an immense amount of time digging deep into all the conversations. However, what seems to be missing from these conversations now – and over at least the last 10 years – is an honest, discussion by blacks of how they intend to help solve the problem.  What are blacks going to do to improve their own lot?

And the answer is not more busing to different schools.  More busing per se will not improve the education level for most blacks. Education requires a commitment to learn, not just getting on a bus and riding to a different school. 

And the answer is not more black coaches in the National Football League.  What more black coaches or black quarterbacks in the NFL have to do with improving the economic well-being of blacks in general is beyond me. And even more of a waste of time is whining when a black coach gets fired.  Outside of a handful of coaches in NFL history, all coaches are fired at some point.

I’ve made this observation in the past blog entries, but it seems worth repeating.  And the observation seems so basic. If every other ethnic group entering the US has managed to become assimilated in two generations – three at the most – why haven’t blacks?

All other ethnic groups were discriminated against and, some still are.  If you don’t think so, read some history of the early 20th Century and then some stories of discrimination of these groups as recently as last week. Do you hear any of these ethnic groups whining about discrimination? Not that I know of.

What has been the formula for these groups? A commitment to education. Not a commitment to football or basketball or the music. No, a widespread to commitment to general education. Where did that start? At the very local level, ideally with the family.

So why aren’t blacks leaders learning from these other ethnic groups and pushing for education starting at the family level? Ignore Ron DeSantis and his efforts in Florida to remove an advanced placement course in black history. Expending any effort on DeSantis is a waste of time because what he says might be annoying, but it cannot stop a legitimate effort to improve.

Instead, think about how to get children and young adults focused on education.  The education doesn’t have to be in college – skilled trades are needed and offer good paying jobs. And while you’re focusing on education, ask Congress to rename Black History Month to Black Education Month.  Focusing the conversation and efforts on education will pay dividends for members of the black community and gain much more support from the rest of society. END ENTRY #473

Other Topics. Interested in more info about climate change, what’s required to electrify a fleet of cars/trucks, what it was like to work day-to-day with Lee Iacocca and an array of other topics? Visit another page of this website, https://usrevolution5.com/jrd-thought-comments/

#461 Students Should Be Forced to Repay Loans Because…Well, Just Because!

09 Friday Sep 2022

Posted by Jordan Abel in Back Asswards Thinking, Common Sense Policies, Education Issues, Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Welcome to a discussion about the upcoming 5th Revolution in the US, which I’ve titled the “Revenge Revolution.” For more about the Revenge Revolution and the author, Entry #1.  Periodically I write a “sense check” to assess whether a revolution in the US is possible or whether the entire exercise is based on a statistical aberration — i.e., a roughly 50-year cycle between major upheavals in the US. Entry #430 was the most recent “sense check.”

BEGIN ENTRY #461. President Biden has proposed a program to reduce outstanding student loans by up to $20,000 for many middle- and limited-income families. Surprise, surprise, this proposal has many Republicans up in arms.

Before addressing the merits of such a program, let’s take a look at what’s available to companies and individuals who have too much debt relative to income, other than debt from student loans.

Companies with too much debt compared to income have an option called Chapter 11 bankruptcy. The cause of why the company has too much debt can range from bad luck to bad economic times to bad management, which is usually the cause.

While the cause of too much debt might influence whether existing management remains in place, the cause does not prevent the company from filing for debt relief under Chapter 11.

One company that seems to be quite familiar with Cha11 is the Trump Organization.  Trump has filed for Cha11 SIX (6) times.  For Republicans opposed to forgiving some portion of student debt, Trump’s bankruptcies somehow must be different.  Think about it. How could a business genius like Trump be forced into bankruptcy? Someone else must have been the cause since the Donald never makes mistakes. 

OK, I’ll stop the sarcasm. But the facts are straightforward – companies and individuals can file for bankruptcy, have debts significantly reduced or eliminated and start fresh.  Companies and individuals get debt relief even if an individual or management has made incredibly unsound financial decisions.  There’s only one exception – student loans are not relieved/eliminated under the bankruptcy laws.

That’s right. Student debt cannot be reduced or eliminated by bankruptcy.  Even if all other personal debts are excused, student debt remains.  Further, interest rates charged by the lender – usually a 3rd party and not the government – are often substantially above market rates.  Student borrowers have little or no recourse against unscrupulous lenders.

Who are the major players attracting prospective students to take on debt for “education“?  I’m sure you’re shocked but often the most aggressive are for-profit “universities.” Some examples include ITT, University of Phoenix and, of course, Trump University, which is now defunct after a being forced to close for fraud.  There are other for-profits as well – cosmetology schools, for example. 

The for-profits are not alone.  Some not-for-profit academic institutions have aggressively pursued students needing loans.  However, for-profit universities have a major incentive to attract prospective students with limited knowledge and/or marketable skills, keep students in school as long as possible and provide as little staff support as possible.  And why not? Students can increase ROI and the risk to the for-profit university is minimal. Once a student takes on debt, the for-profit university has created an annuity.

In what has become true Republican fashion, discussions about the merits/drawbacks of student debt reduction program (not complete debt relief for most), have been directed at blaming the student for the entire problem.  After all, the student signed the paperwork.

Is the student to blame? Partially but blaming the student for the entire problem is like blaming someone for a car accident who has never been taught to drive.

If we, societal we, want to retain Chapter 11 bankruptcy for businesses in Chapter 7 for bankruptcy for individuals to relieve debt, then we need to make some provision to relieve a portion of student debt. END ENTRY #461

Other Topics. Interested in more info about climate change, what’s required to electrify a fleet of cars/trucks, what it was like to work day-to-day with Lee Iacocca and an array of other topics? Visit another page of this website, https://usrevolution5.com/jrd-thought-comments/

#440: Adding a Question When Discussing Black Suppression

27 Sunday Feb 2022

Posted by Jordan Abel in Education Issues, Societal Issues, Uncategorized

≈ Leave a comment

Welcome to a discussion about the upcoming 5th Revolution in the US, which I’ve titled the “Revenge Revolution.” For more about the Revenge Revolution and the author, Entry #1.  Periodically I write a “sense check” to assess whether a revolution in the US is possible or whether the entire exercise is based on a statistical aberration — i.e., a roughly 50-year cycle between major upheavals in the US. Entry #430 was the most recent “sense check.”

ENTRY #440 BEGINS: We are near the end of February, which some years ago, was designated as Black History Month. A major event during this month was the nomination of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson as the next associate justice of the Supreme Court and, if confirmed, would be the first black woman to serve on SCOTUS.

Judge Jackson has stellar educational and work credentials. Two other possible nominees, also black women, are also highly educated and qualified.

During February, while the speculation about the SCOTUS nominee received considerable media attention, there was also frequent mention from various high-profile blacks that we, societal we, need to have an honest conversation about the history of how blacks have been suppressed over time.

I agree that historical suppression of blacks is a fair topic. I also think the conversation about the effects of suppression needs to include a simple question. “Why has every other ethnic group in the US been able to move up the economic ladder within two to three generations?”

Before claiming these other ethnic groups weren’t discriminated against or suppressed like blacks, one needs to read the history books. In the late 19th and early 20th centuries, there were signs reading, “No Irish or dogs allowed.”  Similar signs were put up about Italians and various other groups, some far more recently.

Targeting non-black groups continues today.  The march in Charlottesville, VA during the early days of the Trump administration, in addition to targeting blacks, targeted Jews.  In the past couple of years, several synagogues have been attacked and a number of people killed.

So back to the question that needs to be discussed, “why have blacks continued at the bottom rung of the economic ladder for so long?”  Yes, I understand the question is politically incorrect and may even be offensive to some people.  However, without addressing such difficult questions, progress becomes impossible.

Over time education has proved to be a key for upward mobility.  Education does not mean everyone should or needs to go to college.  Technical training is an ideal route for many. 

The discussion also needs to ask whether society is providing the right kind of support for blacks.  While modern school buildings and access to an iPad are nice, education only works when the individual has the desire to learn and is willing to commit time and effort to learning.

Without that desire and commitment at the individual level, educational efforts are as effective as pushing on a string.   No matter how much energy is expended pushing on the string, not much happens at the other end.

As demonstrated repeatedly by other ethnic groups, even with a desire for and a commitment to education, significant economic mobility will take several generations.  For blacks specifically, the Emancipation Proclamation was about 160 years ago, or 6-7 generations. There have been three generations since the SCOTUS decision of Brown v. Board of Education, which overturned the separate but equal clause from Plessy v. Ferguson.

A controversial idea.  Maybe it is time to revisit the ideas of Plessy, but this time with fair implementation.  For many black families, there has been limited exposure to post-secondary education.  The transition from high school to college is difficult for most every student.  And with fewer family experiences to draw on, the transition for black students might be even more difficult.

Is it time that we, back to societal we, consider beefing up resources provided to various historically black colleges and universities?  HBCU’s could be an ideal environment for many black students to achieve the transition between high school and college.   HCBU’s have produced a plethora of highly successful graduates, including VP of the US, Kamala Harris. 

The scope of education at HCBU’s could be expanded to include more courses in the skilled trades.  As the economy becomes more reliant on digital-based equipment, the education for skilled trades needs to increase the amount of technical knowledge in addition to teaching the skills of the particular trade. 

To begin to grasp how much more sophisticated the equipment is than 10-years ago and certainly 20-years ago, one only needs to look at a recent episode of “This Old House.”  Even more striking is the difference in the use of digital-driven equipment in manufacturing.    

The technical training at HBCU’s could be complemented with business training.  Not everyone needs to earn an MBA, but many students would be well served by classes in the fundamentals of operating a business — accounting, budgeting, cash flow management, etc. 

The combination of some traditional education and technical training could help HCBU’s become a major source of highly skilled graduates for many industries.  Some HCBU’s could add a co-op program that would allow students with limited resources to earn enough money for tuition and living expense while also getting an education and real-world experience. 

These ideas do not eliminate the reality of the effects of suppression of blacks.  The ideas do help change the focus toward the future.  Rather than driving while only looking in the rearview mirror, blacks can start driving while looking through the windshield and occasionally glancing in the rearview mirror.  Doing so will speed up the trip away from the bottom rung of the economic ladder.   

Other Topics. Interested in more info about climate change, what’s required to electrify a fleet of cars/trucks, what it was like to work day-to-day with Lee Iacocca and an array of other topics? Visit another page of this website, https://usrevolution5.com/jrd-thought-comments/  

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