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~ USA Headed for a 5th Revolution! Why?

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Category Archives: Back Asswards Thinking

#337 Compartmentalizing Irrational Behavior. Fiction Trumps Truth.

27 Monday May 2019

Posted by Jordan Abel in Back Asswards Thinking, Causes of the Revolution, Societal Issues

≈ Leave a comment

Readers: this blog is set in the future (sometime after the year 2020). Each entry assumes there has been a 5th revolution in the US — the Revenge Revolution. More about the Revenge Revolution, a list of earlier revolutions and the author, Entry #1.

Periodically I write a “sense check” to assess whether in the next few years, a revolution in the US is still possible or whether the entire exercise is based on a statistical aberration — i.e., a roughly 50-year cycle between major upheavals in the US.  With all that’s happened lately in Washington, I wrote a special sense check, Entry #332.  

One of the contributing factors to the Revenge Revolution will be a technology tsunami, which I believe is rapidly headed toward US shores.  Fifteen recent entries addressed various aspects how the tech tsunami might: (i) affect the US economy and family incomes; (ii) be mitigated by taking certain actions.  The series of entries is available as an eBook.  (19 05 19 Tech Tsunami Booklet)

The first draft of this blog entry was an attempt to convince Trumpsters to ask themselves why they continued to support behavior that if exhibited by a Democrat would have caused them to be apoplectic. With each passing month I have become more perplexed why and how Republican thinking switched 180 degrees from categorizing certain behavior as unacceptable in pre-Trump to categorizing the same behavior as acceptable under Trump. What caused the definition of “acceptable behavior” to change? Formerly unacceptable behavior has become the norm with only a whimper of protest from a few Republicans. Why?

The blog entry got delayed because of activities surrounding Memorial Day weekend…fortunately. Why fortunately? There was a fascinating opinion piece in the “Review” section of the 05/26/2019 NY Times, titled, “Why Fiction Trumps Truth” that seemed to explain how some people willingly allow clearly untrue assertions to affect some of their behavior, yet act rationally much of the other time. The article noted that people who compartmentalize seem to accept more readily claims that are truly bizarre and outlandish.

Whether the author’s analysis is completely accurate, I don’t know. I am not a trained psychologist, psychiatrist, psychoanalyst. Some people think I’m just psycho. However, the writer’s premise and support seems plausible and helps me understand what can best be described only as irrational behavior. In previous blog entries, I’ve suggested the cause of such “compartmentalized” behavior by Trump supporters was some form of brainwashing.

Part of the brainwashing could be attributed to such talking heads as Sean Hannity and Rush Limbaugh who fill their airtime not with questions and analysis but with declarative statements and claims unsupported by facts. An even more influential source for the brainwashing is Trump, who if nothing else, is a master of making and repeating false statements, offering no context or support for his claims. After a while, people here the lie often enough, they get brainwashed and believe the lie.

While Republicans under Trump seem to have taken the compartmentalizing phenomenon to the extreme, the phenomenon is not unique to Trump supporters or the Republican Party. We are all probably guilty of some degree of “compartmentalizing” irrational behavior, even if such behavior applies only to a favorite sports team.

Please read the opinion piece using the link above. Given the degree of compartmentalization, the question now seems to be, “How does US society get out of this mess?” Other than a catastrophic event, such as a revolution, is there any to convince “compartmentalized” voters, left and right, to come out of the closet, err compartment?

While both parties have voters in such compartments, the degree to which Republicans have begun accepting as normal, behavior that for decades had been considered “highly unacceptable,” is startling and hard to explain. Why do Republicans without any protest whatsoever allow Trump to enable the Attorney General, if he so chooses, to disclose publicly any and all sources of intelligence information, domestic and foreign?

Whether the Attorney General ever discloses the sources doesn’t matter. The damage is already done. The fear by the source of being “outed” will cause most every source to no longer provide information. In many countries, any type of disclosure for a source has a severe negative consequence – imprisonment, torture and possibly death. Trump’s action, which was done purely for political reasons, is a direct threat to national security. And where were protests from Republicans, who claim to be the party of national security? No response!!!!!

Where are all the Republicans who clamored for putting Hillary Clinton in jail for using a non-government server? Where’s the protest Representative Jim Jordan Ohio? Guess you’re not such a tough guy wrestler after all. Trump seems to have you in a choke hold. Where are protests from Mitch McConnell, Senate Majority Leader? Cat got your tongue? Where are Republican supporters of the military when Trump tweets that Russia and North Korea are not really threats?

I’ll tell you where Republicans are. Clamoring for an investigation of the people in the FBI and CIA who found out people in the Trump Campaign were dealing with the Russians before the election. And, no, Trump supporters, there was no attempted coup. First, Trump and supporters should thank James Comey for handing Trump the election with the press conference chastising Hillary Clinton.

But, no, in Trump world everything is backwards. Good is bad and bad is good. Next, go read the Muller Report, not Trump’s or Barr’s misinterpretation. If you still need convincing that Trump just might be acting in violation of US law, look at all the financial information from Trump’s tax returns, phony foundation, money laundering through Deutsche Bank and elsewhere.

Despite overwhelming evidence, Republicans in a classic flip flop compared to demands for say Clinton, insist any financial information not be disclosed. Why? The information would be used for political purposes. Republicans would never do such a thing but Democrats always do. Well then, let’s use this argument. The law requires the IRS to turn over tax returns to specified members of Congress. Using a standard Republican argument about complying with the law, if Trump’s done nothing wrong and has nothing to hide, why not let people view the information who are charged in the Constitution with oversight of the Executive Branch? If you have questions about the House’s authority, please read Article I of the Constitution.

OK, I’ve ranted enough and probably not changed a single Republican’s mind. I do hope, however, that everyone reading the blog (Republicans and Democrats) will at least read the opinion piece in the NYT and step back and ask, “What irrational behavior (fiction) am I ‘compartmentalizing’ and allowing to influence my behavior that I would otherwise consider unacceptable?” Also ask, “How can each of us change behavior to avoid what seems to be the inevitable road to the Revenge Revolution?”

Comments and suggestions welcome. Thanks for your time.

 

#304 Republicans Supporting Trump Brainwashed? How One Supporter Was Cured. (Part 3)

19 Sunday Aug 2018

Posted by Jordan Abel in Back Asswards Thinking, Causes of the Revolution, Personal Stories

≈ Leave a comment

Readers: this blog is set in the future (sometime after the year 2020). Each entry assumes there has been a 5th revolution in the US — the Revenge Revolution. More about the Revenge Revolution and author, Entry #1.  Most entries are formatted as conversations. Characters appear in a number of entries, with many entries building on previous conversations.

Occasionally I break from the normal formatting and do a “sense check.”  Auditing one’s own work is problematic but I try to be objective.  Entries #300 and #301 are the most recent “sense checks.”  Your thoughts are welcomed and appreciated.  Thanks for your time and interest…and comments, please.

Scene: Jordan’s office, Washington, DC.  Jordan having coffee with Walt, a friend from college days.  Conversation begins entry #302.

(Last comment, previous entry.  Jordan:  “Walt, have you ever studied how people think after they’ve been brainwashed?”)

Walt:  “Are you implying that I’ve been brainwashed?”

BrainwashedJordan:  “Just asking a question if you knew the logic stream of people who have been brainwashed.”

Walt:  “Who else is in the office? Gelly still here?”

Jordan:  “No, she’s got a meeting in another building and will be out for at least an hour.  Why do you ask?”

Walt:  “Because I’ve never told anyone…well other than the psychiatrist.  Sure Gelly’s not here?  And you’re not taping this conversation, right?”

Jordan:  “She’s not here.  I saw here leave.  And, no, the conversation is not being taped.  What’s the big deal?”

Baldheaded ManWalt:  “OK, you’re right.  I was brainwashed by Trump.  It’s embarrassing to talk about it.”

Jordan:  “I can understand that.  How’d you figure it out?”

Walt:  “I don’t remember exactly.  It’s not like I woke up one morning and said, ‘Gee, I’ve been brainwashed.’”

Jordan:  “Well, what did happen?”

Walt:  “The realization was gradual at first, almost like baby steps.  I do remember being taken aback in late summer 2018 when Trump started to yank security clearances from former high-ranking people who’d been in the FBI, CIA and NSA.”

Trump KingJordan:  “What about Trump yanking the security clearances made you take pause?”

Walt:  “I remember seeing an interview with John Brennan…might have been Clapper but I think it was Brennan.  Anyway, the guy said a security clearance was not for the benefit of the individual but for the benefit of the country.  I’d never really thought of it that way.  And here goes Trump acting like a king and taking away security clearances from people who know more about threats to national security than he does.”

Jordan:  “And…”

Walt:  “…and I kept asking myself ‘Why take away the clearances?’  Then I began to think it was his fragile ego was hurt when some of these guys raised questions about the Trump Administration’s policies. It began to bother me that Trump’s actions to satisfy his ego could really hurt the country.”

Jordan:  “After that revelation, did you change your mind about a conspiracy among the US national security agencies to get rid of Trump?”

Ping PongWalt:  “Not all at once.  I bounced back and forth.  It was as if I was playing ping-pong by myself.  One day a conspiracy theory; the next day no conspiracy.”

Jordan:  “But each day you were less and less supportive?”

Walt:  “Gradually I became convinced there was no conspiracy.  One day I said to myself, ’Self, Trump is the problem, not the FBI or CIA.”

Jordan:  “Then what”

Walt:  “When I started to put claims of a conspiracy theory into a different context, then a lot of other claims Trump was making started to fall apart.”

Jordan:  “How long did it take you to change your mind?”

Humpty DumptyWalt:  “Once I got though the conspiracy analysis, then like the baby who now knows how to walk, the pace picked up considerably.  And finally, Trump became more like Humpty Dumpty.”

Jordan:  “Did you talk to anyone about your change of support for Trump?”

Walt:  “How could I?  For three plus years…during the campaign and then when he was in the White House…I’d tweeted about why Trump was so, so right.  To admit I’d changed my mind would have been embarrassing to say the least.  In fact, I still can’t talk about it.  You’re the first one who knows.”

Jordan:  “Well, I’m glad we’re talking about it.  But go back to the time you really started to change.  How’d the psychiatrist get involved?”

mirror-clipart_jpgWalt:  “As I looked in the mirror, I just couldn’t believe what I’d been doing.  I needed to find out why.  What had made me act that way?”

Jordan:  “So you found a psychiatrist?”

Walt:  “I first did some research.  In fact one of the experts on behavior modification was a professor who I think you took a class from at MIT.  Ed somebody.”

Jordan:  “Ed’s class was a seminal event for me.  Very insightful and frankly, changed my life.”

PsychaitristWalt:  “Well, I poured through a couple of his books.  Then I decided to see a psychiatrist.”

Jordan:  “Good for you.  How’d you find the right one?”

Walt:  “Looked through their stated specialties and a lot about what they had studied and where they studied.  Narrowed in down to a couple and then chose the one who was more familiar with Ed’s work…and who knew him professionally.”

TurtleneckJordan:  “Walk me through how you guys worked together.”

Walt:  “First couple of sessions were really me laying out: (i) what attracted me to Trump, sources of information I used, what actions I took, etc.; (ii) how I felt when Trump took certain actions or made certain statements.  Did I always support him?  Did I have any doubts?  The sessions were background information.”

Jordan:  “Then what?”

Walt:  “Next few sessions were trying to understand how I thought I had changed.  Content was much like you and I have talked about but a lot more detail.”

Jordan:  “After you laid out all the history, what was next?”

Walt:  “The next sessions were fascinating, frustrating and embarrassing.  Some of the time we talked about how people become brainwashed.”

Case StudyJordan:  “You became your own case study.”

Walt:  “I was a case study in a course I didn’t want to take.  Anyway I really had no idea I was being brainwashed.  For a long time, all Trump’s ideas seemed to make sense.  Trump seemed so right…and everyone who didn’t support him seemed so wrong.  The world was black and white.”

Jordan:  “But somehow you managed to break out of the brainwashing.  How did that happen?”

Wall BrickWalt:  “Look, I’m no brainwashing expert but as was explained to me, there are ‘holes’ in most brainwashing caps.  If reaction to an event or an idea goes through one of those holes, it accesses the pre-brainwashed mind.  Think of it as a being on either side of a wall or maybe as separate partitions on a computer hard drive.”

Jordan:  “For you the idea of Trump using security clearances for political reasons slipped through one of those holes.”

Walt:  “Yep, and at least part of me was accessing a different partition of my hard drive.  Part of me was back to my pre-brainwashed days.”

Coffee cup StarbucksJordan:  “This discussion is absolutely fascinating…but I need a break bad.”

Walt:  “Me, too, and I could use another cup of coffee.  Now that I’ve confessed, I can quit claiming Starbucks is part of a liberal conspiracy and is just a coffee shop.  Even more embarrassing for me, I like their coffee.”

(Continued)

#303 Trump Supporters Really Brainwashed? (Part 2)

12 Sunday Aug 2018

Posted by Jordan Abel in Back Asswards Thinking, Causes of the Revolution, Societal Issues, Stupid Is as Stupid Does

≈ Leave a comment

Readers: this blog is set in the future (sometime after the year 2020). Each entry assumes there has been a 5th revolution in the US — the Revenge Revolution. More about the Revenge Revolution and author, Entry #1.  Most entries are formatted as conversations. Characters appear in a number of entries, with many entries building on previous conversations.

Occasionally I break from the normal formatting and do a “sense check.”  Auditing one’s own work is problematic but I try to be objective.  Entries #300 and #301 are the most recent “sense checks.”  Your thoughts are welcomed and appreciated.  Thanks for your time and interest…and comments, please.

Scene: Jordan’s office, Washington, DC.  Jordan having coffee with Walt, a friend from college days.  Conversation begins entry #302.

Jordan:  “So, Walt, how’s the coffee?”

Coffee cup StarbucksWalt:  “Great!  Where’d you get it?  Don’t tell me.  It’s from that liberal bastion, Starbucks.”

Jordan:  “Yes, Starbucks.  But why does everything in your world have to fall into a bucket?  Why do institutions have to be labeled liberal or conservative?  Starbucks is a coffee shop, not a political party.”

Walt:  “You don’t get it do you?  Or maybe you don’t want to understand.”

Jordan:  “You’ve lost me.  Understand what?”

Walt:  “Many of these institutions are part of a conspiracy.  A Few years ago that conspiracy was focused on getting rid of Trump…and was the primary cause of the Revenge Revolution.”

bang-head-against-wallJordan:  “C’mon.  Stop me from banging my head against the wall.  I admit I find your logic fascinating, even humorous at times…but your logic is also incredibly frustrating.”

Walt:  “Why so frustrating?  Seems pretty straightforward to me.”

Jordan:  “Start with the conspiracy assumption.  A conspiracy requires a group of people.  But the group is usually fairly small since it’s hard to keep a secret, even within a small group.  And now you’re talking about some conspiracy with hundreds, if not thousands, even tens of thousands of participants.  That logic does fly.”

Baldheaded ManWalt:  “But it’s true.”

Jordan:  “Just think about.  How could one possibly coordinate the activities of all these organizations, let alone people within the organizations?  As I said, Starbucks is just a coffee shop.”

Walt:  “Here’s an example.  Before the break you said we were going to discuss my thoughts on the Mueller Witch Hunt.  I know, you think it was an investigation but it was really a witch hunt.  The FBI’s behavior was a perfect example of one group that conspired to stop Trump from getting elected.  Then the FBI tried to get him out after the election.”

Jordan:  “Statements claiming the FBI conspired to elect Hillary make no sense to me.  The facts suggest the opposite.  Actions of the FBI likely helped Trump get elected.”

Walt:  “See, there you go spouting off the liberal fake news.  You need to watch Fox News and start getting the truth.”

FBI LogoJordan:  “If the FBI was trying to get Hillary elected, then why did Comey hold a press conference a few days before the election effectively reopening an investigation about Clinton that found no laws were broken?”

Walt:  “I think laws were broken.  She should have been punished and locked up.  But Comey’s real purpose in criticizing Clinton just before the election was to gain more sympathy for her…and encourage the Democrats to vote for her.”

Jordan:  “Huh?”

PutinWalt:  “Same thing with Obama.  He knew the Russians had hacked the Democratic National Committee HQ and were releasing emails to the public.  But he didn’t do anything about it.  Why not?”

Jordan:  “You tell me since the Russians were helping Trump?”

Walt:  “The Russians weren’t helping Trump.  Why didn’t Obama make any public announcement?  Because he didn’t want the make the DNC and Clinton look like they were not on top of things.  I’m telling you, Mueller should have investigated Obama and not Trump.”

ComplicatedJordan:  “Just for fun, please tell me, in Trump world, does the sun come up in the east or west?”

Walt:  “Whadda mean?”

Jordan:  “Never mind.  Back to the FBI.  Let’s turn the situation around.  Suppose the FBI had strong evidence that the RNC had been hacked and the Russians might be working with the DNC to get the Democratic candidate elected.  What would you want from the FBI?”

American FlagWalt:  “A thorough investigation.  Why should the FBI allow a foreign country, especially a known enemy of the US, try to influence the outcome of a presidential election?  If the FBI didn’t investigate, it would be dereliction of duty.  All of them should be fired…and some tried for treason.”

Jordan:  “Let me see if I understand your position correctly.  If the FBI had credible evidence a foreign country, and especially an enemy like the Russian, had infiltrated a campaign and was trying to influence the election, you’d want the FBI to pursue the investigation vigorously, right?”

Walt:  “Yep.”

Jordan:  “And it would be unpatriotic, possibly treasonous if those who had credible information didn’t pursue an investigation and prosecution.”

Walt:  “Yep, again.”

TurtleneckJordan:  “Yet, when the FBI had very credible evidence that the Russians had infiltrated the Trump campaign and the campaign was likely conspiring with the Russians, you supported the Republicans in Congress who objected.  Those same Republicans thought the investigation should be stopped.  Why did you support them when you just said there should be an investigation?”

Walt:  “You don’t listen very well do you?  I told you, the FBI favored Clinton and therefore the FBI evidence and Mueller investigation were a ploy to get Trump out of office.”

Jordan:  “How did you know there was no evidence if you wanted to stop the investigation before it was completed?”

Walt:  “Because Mueller never disclosed publicly any evidence…until issuing that phony report.”

Jordan:  “Even though releasing some of the evidence might have compromised the investigation and might have violated some national security laws, you thought it should be released anyway.  And because Mueller didn’t release the evidence, you think it was likely fake.”

dude-with-questionWalt:  “Not likely fake, it was fake.  At least now you’re starting to understand.”

Jordan:  “Walt, have you ever studied how people think after they’ve been brainwashed?”

#302 Trump Supporters Really Brainwashed? (Part 1)

05 Sunday Aug 2018

Posted by Jordan Abel in Back Asswards Thinking, Causes of the Revolution, Lessons of Revolution, Societal Issues

≈ 7 Comments

Readers: this blog is set in the future (sometime after the year 2020). Each entry assumes there has been a 5th revolution in the US — the Revenge Revolution. More about the Revenge Revolution and author, Entry #1.  Most entries are formatted as conversations. Characters appear in a number of entries, with many entries building on previous conversations.

Occasionally I break from the normal formatting and do a “sense check.”  Auditing one’s own work is problematic but I try to be objective.  Entries #300 and #301 are the most recent “sense checks.”  Your thoughts are welcomed and appreciated.  Thanks for your time and interest…and comments, please.

Scene: Jordan’s office, Washington, DC.

Jordan:  “Gelly, nice to have you back from vacation.”

092615_2031_Characters7.gifGelly:  “Nice to be back.  Had lots of fun but sorta, kinda missed the office.”

Jordan:  “Glad to hear that.  See you got new reading glasses while you were gone.  Look very nice.”

Gelly:  “Thanks.”

Jordan:  “Anything special on the calendar today?”

Gelly:  “Nothing special except your visitor.”

TurtleneckJordan:  “Right.  Walt’s coming over sometime late morning.”

Gelly:  “How’d he get the name Walt?  That’s not his real name is it?”

Jordan:  “No.  The guys in the fraternity nicknamed him Walt.  And I might have been the culprit.  He was always dreaming about some big project…like Walt Disney.”

Gelly:  “Hope you two have a good visit.  Let me know if you need anything special.  We can order in lunch if you want.”

——– Walt arrives ———-

Walt:  “Jordan, great to see you.  Been a while.”

Jordan:  “Nice to see you, Walt.  Last time was a couple of years ago when you guys came to Charlotte for the 4th of July.”

Baldheaded ManWalt:  “We had a great time and the fireworks at the club were sensational.”

Jordan:  “What brings you to town, anyway?”

Walt:  “Trying to help salvage the right-wing of the Republican Party.  Since the Revenge Revolution, the right-wing has been in shambles.”

Jordan:  “You’ve got a tough job ahead of you.  With that in mind, I have what may be a sensitive question.”

Walt:  “You, concerned about being sensitive?  Since when?  Go ahead.  We’ve been friends for too long to worry about sensitive questions.  Besides, if I don’t like the question, I’ll just go run and hide.”

Jordan:  “Think back to the 2016 presidential campaign.  Did you originally support Trump?”

trump-scowlWalt:  “I thought Trump was a blowhard.  More of a flake real-estate salesman than a conservative Republican.”

Jordan:  “But as the other candidates dropped out and the field narrowed…”

Walt:  “…as the field narrowed, his appeal increased.  Truth be known, I would have voted for a yellow dog rather than Hillary.  I just didn’t like her.”

Jordan:  “OK, so you committed to a Republican candidate no matter what.  That candidate turns out to be Trump, who you thought was a flaky real-estate salesman.”

Walt:  “Guess so.”

Jordan:  “Then Trump gets elected.  Were you pleased with the results?”

Walt:  “I was pleased he was trying to make changes.  You know, make the Federal government more efficient.  And I liked the idea of draining the swamp.”

Jordan:  “Were you pleased with his choices for cabinet secretaries?  Think about Flynn, Price and Pruitt, for example.  And what about bringing in the Trump family as close advisors?  Were you satisfied with everyone’s experience in running large, government-like organizations?”

Ends Justify MeansWalt:  “Guess I never really considered the experience.  Was more intrigued with the idea of change than the quality of the people involved or what they had to do to implement change.  Sort of the ends justifying the means.”

Jordan:  “What about Trump’s attacks on the media, the FBI, the CIA…the entire intelligence community?”

Walt:  “As time went on Trump’s claims about fake news and liberal bias in the media seemed to be proved right.  The more I studied, the more I thought the FBI was really after him.”

Jordan:  “As part of your ‘studying’, did you ever step back and ask yourself, ‘Gee, what Trump is claiming to be true is contrary to just about everything I’ve learned over the years.  Wonder why I am changing my views?’”

Walt:  “Didn’t ask any question exactly like that.”

Jordan:  “Aside from Trump and his tweets, where’d you get your news?”

Walt:  “Why do you care?  Why the interrogation?”

Jordan:  “No interrogation.  What I’m trying to understand is why…and how…Trump gained such rabid support among hard-right Republicans when many on the right originally considered him a Democrat.  I find the shift in attitude fascinating…and troubling.”

fox-news-logo bWalt:  “We’ll talk about troubling later.   As I said, I did my own studying trying to understand if Trump was real or not.  I spent lots of time watching Fox – mostly Hannity and O’Reilly before he got unfairly railroaded out – and I’d catch Limbaugh on the radio a couple of times a week.  The more I listened to these guys the more convinced I was Trump was on the right track.”

NYT LogoJordan:  “Did your studying include reading newspapers – let’s say the Miami Herald, Palm Beach Post, Washington Post, NY Times?”

Walt:  “On rare occasion the Wall Street Journal.  The Times?  Never.  Run by a bunch of liberal NY Jews.  Oops, sorry.  But you know what I meant.”

Jordan:  “Actually, I don’t know what you meant.  Give me an example or two.”

Walt:  “Take Paul Krugman in the Times.  He’s way too liberal and always trashed Trump.”

Jordan:  “Krugman is an op-ed columnist for the NY Times, not a reporter. The editorial and news gathering sections of the Times are completely separate.”

Walt:  “I have no proof and therefore, to me, there’s no separation.  If what he writes is in the NY Times, it means the NY Times supports it.”

Jordan (shaking his head):  “Any other sources of info?”

Walt:  “A few conservative websites that have their act together.”

Sarah Huckabee CartoonJordan:  “If I understand correctly, your primary sources of info were Trump, Trump’s tweets, probably the White House press secretary – Sarah Huckabee – and a couple of commentators on Fox.  No print media other than an occasional read of the Journal.  And no other networks such as PBS, CBS, and say MSNBC.”

Walt:  “You got it right.  All those non-Fox sources are too liberal…and fake.”

Jordan:  “OK.  Why don’t we take a break, get some coffee and, then, if ok with you, discuss the evolution of your views about the Mueller investigation.”

Bagel BillWalt:  “OK, but you have to buy coffee…and I want a bagel, too.”

Jordan:  “You do know those liberal NY Jews are the source of those bagels, right?”

(Continued)

 

#282 Seeking Clarity from Chaos (Part 1)

17 Saturday Feb 2018

Posted by Jordan Abel in Back Asswards Thinking, Causes of the Revolution, Education Issues, Societal Issues

≈ 1 Comment

Readers: this blog is set in the future (sometime after the year 2020). Each entry assumes there has been a 5th revolution in the US — the Revenge Revolution. More about the Revenge Revolution and author, Entry #1. List and general description of entries to date.

Commentary: This week’s entry is a bit different — a personal dialogue.  No characters.  No scenes in coffee shops or in the office.  Just personal dialogue.

What can anyone say to help clarify the chaos we’re living in?  While nothing seems appropriate or triuly meaningful, let me provide some perspective on a couple of issues.

I skipped an entry last week to work on two proposals: (i) help improve air quality by reducing emissions from aircraft; (ii) complete development of a remarkably simple micro-utility system that can help provide clean water and electricity to people worldwide.  I had drafted comments about Trump’s stupid idea to have a military parade down Pennsylvania Avenue but decided the comments were far less important than the proposals that could offer society some potential benefit.

abraham_lincoln_clip_art_15515Then came the week of February 12, 2018.  The week started with some people celebrating the birth of a truly great president…Abraham Lincoln.  The rest of the week, however, was mind-numbing blur of events…at least mind-numbing by pre-Trump standards.

The least mind-numbing was that Trump paid…excuse me, Trump’s lawyer paid an adult film star $130,000 to keep quiet about an affair with the Donald.  Just stop and think about the lawyer’s admission.  The to-be president had an affair with a porn star.  The affair started just after the current First Lady gave birth.  OK, so it’s not the first time a president has stepped out on his wife…but stepped out with a well-known a porn star? I mean really.  The Donald must have been seeking professional advice about sex that also included frequent practice sessions.

And why did the lawyer claim that he paid the porn star out of his own pocket with no reimbursement from Trump?  C’mon, such bologna.  The lawyer probably squawked because the Donald didn’t pay him back.

RosensteinThe week ended with indictments of 13 Russians and a couple of Russian-run companies for meddling in the 2016 elections.  So when the indictments were announced, how did the White House respond? Praise for the Justice Department?  Condemnation of Russian interference in the elections?  Nope.  Only a claim there was no collusion between the Trump campaign and the Russians since the indictments indicated the meddling started before Trump formally declared his candidacy.

If the White House only were staffed with people who had graduated from eight grade rather than just kindergarten.  Did anyone in the White House with half a brain listen to what Rob Rosenstein said?  The indictment was specific to a certain segment of Russian interference in the elections.  There was a strong implication in Rosenstein’s remarks of other indictments to come and those indictments would include a different set of characters.

GallowsThe Donald and his incompetents club are not close to being off the hook.  Truth is Mueller didn’t exonerate Trump but tightened the noose a notch or two.

Either event – porn star or the indictments – could have toppled an administration in “normal” times.  But life in Washington and America after Trump – aka, AT – is anything but normal.  (And the new “not-normal”-normal is why the country is headed for its fifth revolution, the Revenge Revolution.)

What’s most disappointing in the AT era is not the behavior of the Donald.  Anyone mildly familiar with his past knew he was boorish, childish and incredibly insecure…although maybe not to the extremes of today.  To understand Trump, all one had to do was visit Trump Tower on 5th Avenue.  A perfect reflection of his personality.

goofy006So what’s most disappointing then is the behavior of Republicans in Congress.  And if you’re a hard-core Republican reading this, please no attempted counters that the Democrats are at fault.  Pal, Republicans control the House, Senate and the White House.  What more do you want?  Yet, the Republicans seem clueless…and have stopped thinking.  Did Trump suck out your brains so you can no longer think…and then take your morals along with the brains?

The lack of brains and morals was vividly displayed this week following the killing of 17 students and teachers in Broward County, FL. Look, I know the president is supposed to try to console the nation in times of such tragedies.  That’s not going to happen with the Donald.

So the job falls to those next in the line of succession.  Starting with the first in line, VP Mike Pence.  Did I miss something or did Pence seem to find some place to hide after his gigantic diplomatic faux pas at the Olympics.  Hey, Mike, if you can shake hands and support some real a-hole dictators elsewhere in the world, you can at least shake hands with the sister of a guy who has nuclear weapons and might be willing to use them on his neighbors and the US.  In case you don’t know it, talking to an enemy doesn’t cause people to die.  War is ugly and costly.

FartSpeaker of the House Paul Ryan was talking out of his you-know-what, babbling incoherently about the usual Republican talking points – enforce the gun laws on the books, help the mentally ill and oh, yes, the Second Amendment is sacred.  Oops, I almost forgot, we need to pray for the families of the people killed.  While not next in line, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell repeated the meaningless drivel.

So, Republicans, where’s your spine…and your brains?  Here’s how the real world works.  Guns kill people.  Understand?  It’s not complicated.  One more time – guns kill people.

AR-15Guns are designed for one purpose…and one purpose only – to kill.  What’s more, weapons designed for the military – AR-15-like weapons – are designed to kills lots of people quickly.

For those gun supporters who have never been in the military, I suggest you watch a demonstration of the fire power that can be laid down by weapons carried by soldiers in a light-infantry unit.  The amount of firepower is breathtaking.

After you’ve been wowed by the demonstration, imagine yourself on the receiving end of all that firepower.  Yes, imagine yourself trying to get away and survive or even return the fire.  Let me tell you, if you’re up against anyone with a limited amount of military training in the light infantry, you don’t have a chance.  And having a bunch of people around with concealed weapons will make little difference…and could make your chances of survival much worse.

The more concealed weapons with the public, the more the shooter will position himself like the shooter in Las Vegas – barricaded and protected against return fire.  Argue all you want that more guns in the public’s hands actually save lives…but your arguments Airplanedon’t hold water.  As awful and frightful as this sounds…and it is…I could go to a gun show and buy weapons that allow me to shoot down a commercial airliner.  What’s even worse, at most major airports I could position myself outside the perimeter of airport security and still be able to take down the airliner.  Scary isn’t it.

So what’s the solution?  (Continued)     

#279 Trump Gets an Annual Checkup with the Board of Directors (Part 1)

21 Sunday Jan 2018

Posted by Jordan Abel in Back Asswards Thinking, Causes of the Revolution, Stupid Is as Stupid Does

≈ 2 Comments

Readers: this blog is set in the future (sometime after the year 2020).  Each entry assumes there has been a 5th revolution in the US — the Revenge Revolution.  More about the Revenge Revolution and author, Entry #1.  List and general description of entries to date.

Note: most entries are formatted as conversations.  Characters appear in a number of entries, with many entries building on previous conversations.  Profile of characters (see link at top of page).  You’ll catch on quickly.  Thanks for your time and interest…and comments.

Scene: Jordan’s office in Washington, DC.

092615_2031_Characters7.gifGelly:  “Jordan, I was cleaning out some files.  Found an article you wrote at the end of Trump’s first year in office.”

Jordan:  “Was that the article about Trump at the Board of Directors’ meeting?”

Gelly:  “Yes.  Here’s a copy.  You might want to read again.”

——————  Article ——————-

Scene: Board of Directors’ meeting of Fortune 100 company.  Trump has been CEO for a year and the Board is conducting an annual appraisal.

Trump:  “Welcome everyone.  This meeting will be short since I know all of you think I’ve done a fantastic job this past year…really fantastic.  Company’s in great shape.  No Board of Directorsone could have done it better.  Now let’s adjourn and play some golf.”

Board Member:  “Well, Mr. Trump, the Board thinks there needs to be some discussion about your performance this past year.”

Golf CartTrump:  “Why?  I told you my performance was fantastic.  Let’s go play golf.”

Board Member:  “Not all Board members agree your performance was, as you say, fantastic…and certainly not all shareholders, employees and customers agree.”

Trump:  “Whoever disagrees is wrong.  Look I’m the smartest person in the room and in the company…smartest by far.  I’m a genius.  I went to an Ivy League school and was top in my class.”

Board Member:  “Excuse me but you are not the smartest person in the room.  Besides a number of us went to Ivy League schools…and I’ll disregard the claim you were top in your class.  We know better.”

Trump:  “But this Board elected me CEO.  And elected me by a huge margin…huge.  The biggest margin in decades.”

Ballot_Clipart_01Board Member:  “Just to be clear, the majority of the Board did not support you to be CEO.  Only because we have an odd way of counting votes that were you elected.”

Trump:  “That can’t be.  What you’re saying is fake news.  Look I have my own set of facts…and I’m always right.”

Board Member:  “Mr. Trump, we want to talk to you about your performance since becoming CEO.  Just what do you think was your greatest accomplishment this past year?”

PinocchioTrump:  “There’s so many I don’t know where to begin.  No other CEO has ever accomplished so much in such little time.”

Board Member:  “Your modest opinion aside, what could you have done differently in your first year to be more effective?”

TrumpBow Down:  “The only thing I need to be more effective is total loyalty from everyone in the organization.”

Board Member:  “Might I remind you the position of CEO is not like being king.  You might not understand but people don’t bow down to you.  The CEO actually works for the people in the company.  That includes lower-level workers.”

Trump:  “You mean I’m supposed to work for the lower-level losers?  I don’t work for losers.   Those people work for me.  They do what I say…or they’re fired.  Got that, I tell them, ‘You’re fired!’”trump-youre-fired

Board Member:  “Mr. Trump, have you ever tried to manage a large organization?”

Trump:  “Before this job I was the head of the Trump Corporation.  That’s a huge organization…huge.”

Board Member:  “With all due respect, in terms of very large organizations, the Trump Corporation is a rounding error.  Most of us would use such an organization to send early-career managers for training.  That way if they made a major mistake, nothing material would happen to the larger company.”

Trump:  “That’s your perspective.  What’s wrong is this Board and this company are being managed all wrong.  Everything is wrong and needs to change.  I need to blow up the entire organization.”

Board Member:  “So what I’m hearing you say is you’ve never run a large organization.  If fact, never worked in a large company.  Is that right?”

DunceTrump:  “Experience running large companies doesn’t matter.  I don’t need to know…in fact, I pride myself not knowing about lots of things you consider important.  Remember, I’m a genius.  Why waste my time learning anything new?  I’d rather watch TV and play golf.  What’s knowledge worth anyway?  I go with my gut…and I’m always right.”

Board Member:  “Let’s talk about your effectiveness in making the organization operate more effectively.”

Trump:  “Why?  I’m not the problem.  Some of those managers out there are the problem.  They don’t do what I tell them.  They’re the problem.”

Board Member:  “But you’ve always claimed to be a great deal maker.  Isn’t part of the art of the deal being willing to work with the other party…and compromise?”

traitorTrump:  “In my way of thinking, all deals are zero-sum games.  And I have to win.  The other party in the deal needs to cave in to my demands.”

Board Member:  “Some of the key executives in this organization claim that you change your mind frequently.  They think there’s a deal to proceed then you change your mind…and the deal falls apart and no progress is made.  Some of the key execs describe dealing with you is like dealing with a bowl of Jell-O.”

Trump:  “That’s their problem.  Those managers need to do what I want.  They should be loyal to me…or else.”

Board Member:  “Could you explain to the Board why you let operations of this company basically shut down?  The company is not functioning.  Why?”

Trump:  “I told you not my fault.  It’s those managers fault who aren’t loyal to me.”

Temper TantrumBoard Member:  “Mr. Trump, I think it’s time you put on your big-boy pants and quit acting like a whiny 8-year old brat.  You realize that you don’t own those managers.  Those managers are responsible to the company, the customers and the shareholders.  The managers are not your servants.  You do realize that don’t you?”

Trump:  “It’s still their fault.”

Board Member:  “You also realize that as CEO it is your job to make sure the company continues to run.  Do you understand the concerns of these managers?  What is so unreasonable about their concerns that you were willing to let the company stop operating?  Mr. Trump, why don’t you think real hard about your performance while the Board takes a break?”

(Continued)

#270 What’s Supposed to Melt in the US Melting Pot? Discussion: Regional Cultures (Part 6)

06 Monday Nov 2017

Posted by Jordan Abel in Back Asswards Thinking, Causes of the Revolution, Societal Issues

≈ Leave a comment

Readers: this blog is set in the future (sometime after the year 2020).  Each entry assumes there has been a 5th revolution in the US — the Revenge Revolution.  More about the Revenge Revolution and author, Entry #1.  List and general description of entries to date.

Note: most entries are formatted as conversations.  Characters appear in a number of entries, with many entries building on previous conversations.  Profile of characters (see link at top of page).  You’ll catch on quickly.  Thanks for your time and interest…and comments.

Scene: Jordan’s office, Washington, DC.  Conversation about “culture” starts Entry #262

JC:  “We ready to start the discussion again?”

Jordan:  “Yes, but still waiting to hear back from Rock Man about his perspective on black culture.”

092615_2031_Characters2.jpgGreenie:  “OK, in the meantime, I’ve got a culture we might want to explore…or at least I think it qualifies as a culture.”

Jordan:  “And that is?”

Greenie:  “Well, we’ve talked about how much of a culture should blend into US melting pot and how much should not.  Most of the subjects so far could be defined either as an ‘ethic group’ or an organization…the military.  But what about non-ethnic group cultures?  Say regional cultures in the US?”

092615_2031_Characters1.jpgJC:  “You mean how much should regional cultures sorta blend in versus how much should these regional cultures should stay specific to the geographic area?”

Greenie:  “Yes, but more importantly, how much did regional cultures contribute to the Revenge Revolution?”

Jordan:  “Do you really think regional differences might have been a contributing factor?”

JC:  “Do I think so?  Yes.  And Jordan, sometimes I wonder what world you live in.  You, of all people, should know about regional cultures.”

Greenie:  “JC’s right.  Think about it, Jordan.  You’ve lived all over the country – East Coast, Midwest and both nations of California…Northern and Southern.  Plus, haven’t you spent time in just about every state?”

JC:  “So now what’s your take on regional cultures, Mr. Expert?”

TurtleneckJordan:  “I’m hardly an expert.  My take is there are marked differences in cultures among East, Midwest and West and even differences within a region – the Northeast is a good example.  As for Hawaii and Alaska…different still.  But to me these differences seem more cosmetic than substantive.  Yes, some areas are more liberal or more conservative than others but the differences don’t seem to alter the fundamental principles in how the region or the country should be governed.”

Greenie:  “Okay…but one region was conspicuously absent.  What about the South?”

US Map Civil WarJordan:  “The South is a different animal.”

JC:  “In what way?”

Jordan:  “Underneath all the phony niceties is deep resentment.”

Greenie:  “JC, meet Mr. Diplomat, himself.  Resentment of what or about what?”

Jordan:  “Having lost the Civil War…excuse me the War of Northern Aggression…and having the economy being dominated by outsiders…excuse me carpetbaggers.”

JC:  “C’mon.  I know you’ve got a cynical streak but do really think there’s that much resentment?  The Civil War was over 150 years ago.”

Clark GableJordan:  “Frankly, my dear, I don’t give a damn what you think.  Actually, the resentment is probably much greater and deeper than any of us can understand.”

Greenie:  “If I get your take on the South…not everyone, of course…there is some percentage still reeling over the Civil War?  I’m with JC.  That seems like ancient history”

Jordan:  “When we first moved to Charlotte, which like most of Florida is not considered the real south by the hard-core, I viewed as jesting the snide remarks about being a Yankee and being the wrong religion.”

JC:  “Then something or someone changed your mind?”

Greenie:  “Let me guess what changed it.  The election of the Donald.”

trump-scowlJordan:  “Spot on, Greenie.  His election and his rhetoric as president made perfectly acceptable any type of public display of resentment or even hatred of ‘non-true Southerners’.  Look back at Trump’s public support of hate groups in Charlottesville.”

JC:  “Then he claimed statues of Confederate generals were part of American heritage.  Excuse me Donald, in case you didn’t know it, General Robert E. Lee fought against the Union.  Like he was a traitor.  Not a stock trader like you might think but one of those ‘t-r-a-i-t-o-r-s’.  Remember when you claimed all the Muslims in the US were traitors?  Robert E Lee was one of those kind of traitors.”

blameGreenie:  “You know what I find ironic about ironic about the hard-core Southerners supporting the Donald?  Many in the South still blame the North for lots of problems…and they really dislike people from New York.  So who do they support?  The Donald who was born and raised in NY.  The Donald who dodged the draft, claiming bone spurs.  The Donald who proposed policies as president that hurt rather than helped his supporters.  The guy should have been despised by the people in the south.  But no, they adored him.”

RE LeeJC:  “To the hard-core Southerner, he must have been considered a born-again Jefferson Davis and Robert E. Lee rolled into one.  His supporters believed he was going to overthrow the very establishment that the hard-core blamed for destroying the Old South.”

Greenie:  “Maybe even more ironic – the Donald was the ultimate carpetbagger.  He took campaign donations from his supporters and then managed to enrich himself at the expense of his supporters.”

JC:  “Until he got taken out.”

Greenie:  “So why didn’t the South finally turn against him when all the shenanigans came to light?  Forget the financial stuff.  The dealings with Russia were like treason.”

Jordan:  “The hard-core Southerners stuck with him for the same reason they still refuse to acknowledge the facts of the Civil War.  Hard-core Southerners still blame Lincoln when they should be thankful he was nice to them.  Lincoln could have tried for treason and then executed each southern general.”

abraham_lincoln_clip_art_15515JC:  “Lincoln tried to set the stage for the country to heal.  He might have been too accommodating.  The hard-core Southerners still don’t understand and still can’t get out of the blame stage.”

Greenie:  “So now, I guess the next question is ‘Now that we’re past the Revenge Revolution, will the south continue to deny reality and blame the north…or finally join the rest of the country?’”

Jordan: “Listen, I need to call it a day.  Could we continue this conversation over coffee tomorrow morning, please?”

Greenie: “Of course.  JC and I are outta here.”

 

#242 Primer Cha 7: Eliminating Incentive to Pillage

25 Saturday Mar 2017

Posted by Jordan Abel in Back Asswards Thinking, Corporate Policy, Gov't Policy, Innovative Thinking: Ideas and Products, Societal Issues

≈ Leave a comment

First-time readers, the dialogue in this blog is set in the future (sometime after the year 2020).  Each entry assumes there has been a 5th revolution in the US — the Revenge Revolution.  More about Revenge Revolution and author, Entry #1.  List and general description of entries to date.  Annual assessment if Revolution plausible.

Note: most characters appear in a number of entries, with many entries building on previous conversations.  Profile of characters.  You’ll catch on quickly.  Thanks for your time and interest…and comments.

Scene: Gelly, Jordan’s assistant, has been editing and updating a primer Jordan wrote about 2011.  Section starts Entry #235.  (Primer will be available as PDF in another few chapters.  Then the primer download will be updated regularly.) 

092615_2031_Characters7.gifGelly: “Jordan, you’ve done it again?”

Jordan: “Done what, again?”

Gelly: “Made me scratch my head.  I just never thought about economic development as an incentive to pillage.  I mean isn’t economic development supposed to create jobs and make everyone wealthier?”

Jordan: “That’s the political line.  OK, some people do benefit.”

TurtleneckGelly: “You mean the executives of the company that’s relocating.  But I never though about the cost of these relocations to the people where the company left and even…”

Jordan: “…even to the taxpayers of the town where the company is relocating.”

Gelly: “If you add up all the costs, the only winners seem to be the company executives.”

Chapter 7: Eliminating the Incentive to Pillage.  Some might view decisions to shutdown facilities and/or relocate manufacturing plants or distribution centers as capitalism at its best. Others view such decisions as capitalism at its worst – an incentive to pillage with no repercussions.

Wall Street SignSenior executives and shareholders of a company can benefit financially from these actions. Senior managers at companies often have a major portion of compensation in stock – 75.0% of total compensation in stock is not unusual.

Stock price, and therefore executive wealth, is highly influenced by short-term earnings. If you do not believe so, look at the effect on the stock price if a company does not meet the quarterly earnings forecast.

While having compensation in stock rather than cash, especially with a claw-back provision (right to “recall” a portion of compensation at a later date) if long-term earnings do not pan out, is a major step forward, executives of the company still have a major incentive to take actions that may be contrary to the best interests of US society.

ScrewedMany executives believe that by relocating operations, the company will lower its costs and in turn increase stock.  The theory of this action – and I emphasize theory – is the wealth of those executives implementing job cuts will increase the company’s stock price.  Screwed in this equation are those people whose jobs are eliminated and who helped build the company and create its value.

This perverse incentive to screw the very people who helped create the company’s value is either not understood or ignored by the public and politicians who make the tax laws. Management of these companies is giving away most of the store – in many cases transferring future wealth creation outside the US – and being rewarded for the transfer. It is as if the country where the new manufacturing plant is located offered current management a kickback – in effect robbing the US – and the US taxpayers are rewarding the management for accepting it.

The same perverse situation occurs when plants relocate elsewhere in the United States. State and local governments offer tax incentives to have plants relocate from one state to another.

Who pays for these relocations?  Tax_Time_Clip_ArtTaxpayers at both locations. The people where the plant was previously located now have a lower tax base. The people where the plant is now located have higher spending to support the facility but without the benefit of taxes from the new company, which usually does not pay its fair share since it was recruited by waiving taxes.

If proper financial analysis were completed, my belief is it would be less costly to society and especially taxpayers, if the company revamped the existing facility rather than relocating to a new facility in another state. While some might view this perspective as socialism, the view is actually one that ensures America remains a vibrant country for generations.

Benefits of Using Existing Manufacturing Facilities  The benefits of using existing manufacturing facilities rather than developing new or “greenfield” facilities are significant. Some benefits of existing over greenfield include:

  • Infrastructure in place and ready. Many new facilities require roads, sewers, high–voltage electric lines, schools and other expensive infrastructure. Existing facilities may need some upgrades but the cost of upgrades will be less than: (i)  building new and (ii) leaving the existing infrastructure in place to be repaired or sit idle and decay. Creating new infrastructure is double taxation on US citizens – once to build the existing infrastructure and again for the new infrastructure.
  • Workers already trained.  While some retraining may be needed, skills of existing workers can be utilized to develop and manufacture products of the same genre as currently produced. Why train someone in auto production in a different part of the US when a large segment of the population in another area is already trained?
  • Lower cost to begin production. When all costs are considered – not just labor costs per hour – revamping and continuing to utilize the existing facilities and workforce are less costly to society than starting new.  Even if a new building is required in the existing location, there are no additional costs for infrastructure or training.
  • Faster turnaround from product concept to production. Skills acquired over many years cannot be taught in a short period, no matter how proficient the trainers.  Even if the current employees are not trained in the latest technology, combining existing skills with those familiar with the latest technology will shorten the development time for new products.
  • Avoiding costs for family relocation. Relocating workers and families includes both the direct cost of relocation and the indirect social cost. While some workers will view the relocation as an opportunity to move beyond the current environment, many of those who want the adventure have already moved. Forcing families to choose between retaining a job and relocation can have a major social cost. The more dominant the company in the area, the higher the social cost of closing the facility and relocating to another area.

An Occasional Exception to the Rule  What if the existing infrastructure and local infrastructure is inadequate to support the company?  In these circumstances, can the relocation be justified?

Yes, if a true case can be made. A few years ago two companies relocated North American HQ from Augusta, GA to Charlotte, NC. – Electrolux, Husqvarna.  While Augusta, a town of about 200,000, had supported these firms and such other companies as EZ-Go and Club Car (both golf cart manufacturers), Electrolux and Husqvarna may have needed a larger community with a more diverse population, stronger academic institutions, international banks, international law firms and access to an international airport.

“Economic Development” Uneconomic.  Do most relocations add jobs to the US market? No. Are there usually incentives to entice the companies to relocate? Yes.

092615_2031_Characters12.gifDo these relocations create a net gain to US society? No. Owners of the business that’s relocating give taxpayers the finger twice.  Taxpayers where the plant was located originally lose a tax base. Taxpayers in the new location pay additional the relocation incentives.  Even for Electrolux and Husqvarna, there is likely a net loss to society rather than a net gain.

 I realize this rationale may seem counter intuitive, especially to those involved with what is often labeled as “economic development.” However, I am waiting for someone to convince me with a  rationale argument that these moves make economic sense.

Yes, the moves make sense for the companies. But the companies are part of a whole. Until we begin considering the impact of such moves on the system – all society – we will be double taxing ourselves with no net gain to the country’s wealth.  Please show me why I am wrong. (BTW, please read Chapter 8 before forwarding your ideas. Thanks.)

#220 Rioters in Charlotte. Drive Looking through the Windshield or the Rearview Mirror? (Part 2)

02 Sunday Oct 2016

Posted by Jordan Abel in Back Asswards Thinking, Societal Issues, Stupid Is as Stupid Does

≈ Leave a comment

First-time readers, this blog is set in the future (sometime after the year 2020).  Each entry assumes there has been a 5th revolution in the US — the Revenge Revolution.  More about Revenge Revolution and author, Entry #1.  List and general description of entries to date.  Annual assessment whether Revolution plausible.

Note: most characters appear in a number of entries, with many entries building on previous conversations.  Profile of characters.  You’ll catch on quickly.  Thanks for your time and interest…and comments.

Scene: Jordan’s office in Washington, DC.  Conversation for this series starts Entry #219.

Jordan:  “So, Matt, we agree that for anyone or any group to make progress, one needs to look through the windshield and not the rearview mirror.”

092615_2031_Characters11.pngMatt:  “Yes, it seems logical.  But are you suggesting people ignore the past…and just look ahead?”

Jordan:  “Not at all.  Go back to driving.  You look through the windshield and occasionally check the rearview mirror…and the side mirrors.  But you check mirrors just for reference.”

Matt:  “As simple as the metaphor is, I never thought about viewing life in the Carsame way as how one drives – looking through the windshield.  Interesting and simple concept.”

Jordan:  “Glad you like it.”

Matt:  “I’m still a bit confused, however.  How do I let go of the past?  You know, stuff in life that you might see in the rearview mirror.”

Jordan:  “Give me an example.”

Matt:  “What about slavery?  Should the black community, or for that matter the the-underground-railroad-2white community, just forget about slavery?  I mean, that’s hard to forget.”

Jordan:  “I agree.  However, slavery ended in the US 150+ years ago.  That’s 6-7 generations.”

Matt:  “So in today’s rearview mirror, slavery is barely visible.  Slavery is unlike a highly visible semi-truck tailgating you.”

TurtleneckJordan:  “Now you understand the idea.  Look, I’m not saying forget slavery completely.  But to make any progress, you have to focus on current issues.  Issues that are either causing a problem or going to cause a problem.”

Matt:  “You mean like avoiding a major accident.”

Jordan:  “Yes.  Good example.  Have you ever been able to avoid what could have been a major accident?”

1990mazdamiata_01_700Matt:  “Several times.  For some reason, the one that comes to mind first was in my Miata.”

Jordan:  “I didn’t know you had a Miata.  I’ve got an original.  Bought it new.  And a very low VIN.  Anyway, tell me about the almost accident.”

Matt:  “On the Interstate, right lane and just coming up to pass an 18-wheeler.  A tire on the back of the trailer comes apart and I’m faced with a large, ugly tire alligatorgator bouncing around in my lane.”

Jordan:  “Mmm.  Not good.  If you don’t get out-of-the-way and run over the gator, the underside of your Miata is ripped out…and who knows what else happens.  What’d you do?”

Matt:  “Hard right into the breakdown lane.  I avoided the gator but made the mistake of cutting back too sharply.  I’m then faced with an equally difficult situation.  If I try to correct too quickly, I might flip the car and then I’m toast.”

Jordan:  “Or…?”

median-highway-barriers-form_031Matt:  “If I head across all the lanes as an escape, I’m facing a median blocked by a concrete barrier.  There’s no grassy bailout area.”

Jordan:  “Now what?”

Matt:  “Fortunately, I’d been checking the rearview mirror regularly so I knew I had about ¼ mile space before any other cars.  I decided to it the brakes hard and hopefully slide across the road but not hit the barrier.”

Jordan:  “Were you successful?”

u-turnMatt:  “Yes.  I ended up in the outside breakdown lane but facing the wrong way – looking into traffic.  After a few cars passed, shifted into first, did a U-turn and went on my way.”

Jordan:  “Need to change your underwear?” 

Matt:  “Almost.  Now that I’ve told my story, tell me what lessons are relevant for black community?  What are they supposed to learn from my experience about avoiding an accident?”

Jordan:  “My take is three key lessons.  Lesson #1 — conditions in life can change quickly and most of the time those changes are out of your control.”

Matt:  “Like having a tire come apart right in front of me.  Nothing I could do to prevent that occurrence.”

Jordan:  “Lesson #2 — even if the event is out of your control, the response to the event is under your control.  You had the option of staying the course and Whiningnot changing your behavior.  You could have whined and blamed the truck driver all day long for the tire coming apart.  But, blaming and whining would have accomplished nothing.  If you didn’t change your behavior…and change it quickly…the outcome was likely very serious damage to the car and possibly you.”

Matt:  “But the avoidance maneuver was not without risk.  There might have been who knows what in the breakdown lane and then I slid across the pavement.”

Jordan:  “True.  But the risks associated with doing something were far less than doing nothing.”

Matt:  “What’s the 3rd lesson?”

Jordan:  “Lesson #3 – understand the conditions around you before take action.  Connecting DotsMake sure you’re connecting the dots.  Because you were constantly gathering data as you drove, you knew certain options were available.  Even after you made a mistake and over-corrected, you knew you had the option of sliding across the pavement without getting broadsided.  Even though you had only a second or so to decide, you were able to consider multiple options because you were knowledgeable and prepared.”

Matt:  “I’m still a bit confused.   If I’m black, what should I be doing?  Obviously the question doesn’t apply to everyone in the black community, but if we go back to the rioters in Charlotte, which is where we started this conversation, what behavior change should I be considering?”

Jordan:  “First, spend your time looking ahead.  It’s OK to glance in the rearview mirror occasionally, but your life lies ahead of you, not behind you.  Second, mirror-clipart_jpgrecognize events will occur that are out of your control.  Blaming someone else for those events might make you feel good but blaming…and especially rioting and damaging other property…does not solve the problem.  Don’t be stupid and make matters worse.  Third, and this may be the most important, take a hard look in the mirror and acknowledge that you and you alone are responsible for how you react to those events.  You cannot blame anyone else for how you react.  Your reaction is your choice.”

(Continued)      

#219 Rioters in Charlotte. Drive Looking through the Windshield or the Rearview Mirror? (Part 1)

25 Sunday Sep 2016

Posted by Jordan Abel in Back Asswards Thinking, Causes of the Revolution, Societal Issues, Stupid Is as Stupid Does

≈ 4 Comments

First-time readers, this blog is set in the future (sometime after the year 2020).  Each entry assumes there has been a 5th revolution in the US — the Revenge Revolution.  More about Revenge Revolution and author, Entry #1.  List and general description of entries to date.  Annual assessment whether Revolution plausible.

Note: most characters appear in a number of entries, with many entries building on previous conversations.  Profile of characters.  You’ll catch on quickly.  Thanks for your time and interest…and comments.

Scene: Jordan’s office in Washington, DC.

Jordan (Answering phone):  “Jordan Abel.”

092615_2031_Characters11.pngMatt:  “Jordan, its Matt.  Got a few minutes?”

Jordan:  “You picked a good time to call.  What’s up?”

Matt:  “You know Greenie is writing a series on the causes of the Revenge Revolution.  She realized there was no article about the riots in Charlotte in 2016.  She asked me to do some research.”

TurtleneckJordan:  “And you want me to provide some insight, right?”

Matt:  “You’ve lived in Charlotte for a while and I thought you would be a good place to start.”

Jordan:  “OK, I’m not sure I can help but I’ll try.”

Matt:  “As I’ve looked back over the material, the riots seem to have been ignited by the police shooting a black man.”

Jordan:  “That seemed to be the trigger.  The police were serving an arrest warrant on someone else in the same apartment complex as the guy who was shot.”

Matt:  “What was this guy doing?”

car_sedan_blueJordan:  “As I understand, in his car in the parking lot and smoking some weed.  The police ask him to get out of the car.  When he gets out he’s got a gun in his hand.”

Matt:  “I read that members of the victim’s family claimed he was holding a book and not a gun.  Any evidence to support that claim?”

Jordan:  “None.  Even a phone video made by the guy’s wife has voices of the police telling the guy to drop the gun.”

Matt:  “Seems hard to confuse a book and a gun.”

Jordan:  “I agree.  Why the family claimed it was a book, I don’t know.”

Matt:  “Also, from what I read, the police asked the guy a number of time to drop the gun.”

PoliceJordan:  “On the family made phone video, the police ask the guy seven times, yes seven times, to drop the gun.  They might have asked even more.”

Matt:  “Did this guy ever fire at the police?”

Jordan:  “No evidence.  But if you ask someone with a gun to drop it at least seven times and he doesn’t, what are the police supposed to think?  Gee, let’s just wait ‘till this guy starts firing at near point-blank range, then we’ll fire back.  The police were in a very difficult situation and this guy was clearly an unknown commodity.”

Matt:  “Was all this info known to the public right away?  My research indicates info came out in dribs and drabs.”

facebook_circle_color-512Jordan:  “The dissemination of information turned out to be a real problem.  For example, right away the family made the claim the victim had a book in his hand and not a gun.  That info spread quickly on social media.  Unfortunately, for several days the police stayed quiet and never offered any hard evidence to the contrary, even though they had a video from a body cam.”   

Matt:  “Thus, without any evidence from the police, the black community…at least part of the black community…views the family’s version as baseline and believes the police shot a black man unnecessarily.  But, still, why the riots?”

Jordan:  “I’m the wrong guy to ask that question.”

clt-riotMatt:  “Maybe, but what do you think?  Why the riots?  And especially why did the rioters damage cars, buildings, and businesses in their own neighborhood?”

Jordan:  “It makes no sense.  To me the rioters in Charlotte are a classic case of ‘stupid is as stupid does.’  Looting businesses and burning buildings in your own neighborhood, which they did the first night, is as dumb an idea as I can think of.  If I’m a rioter I want to make sure the companies that employ my neighbors and provide services to the neighborhood are damaged.  Duh?”

Wrong WayMatt:  “Aren’t you being overly harsh?  Many blacks were very frustrated.”

Jordan:  “Look, a lot of people were frustrated.  Being frustrated doesn’t give you the right to break the law.  In case no one told the rioters, damaging property and looting are breaking the law.”

Matt:  “What should these people…and I suppose even more important…what should the black community have done?”

Jordan:  “Matt, I’ve used the analogy many times over the years, and it seems appropriate now as well.  Remarkably, some people just don’t seem to get the gist of it.  I’ll start by asking, ‘Do you drive a car?’”

Matt:  “Of course.  Why?”

Jordan:  “When you’re driving, do you look mostly out the windshield or the rearview mirror?”

CarMatt:  “That seems like a silly question.”

Jordan:  “Well, I’ll ask again.  When driving do you look out the windshield or the rearview mirror?”

Matt:  “The windshield, of course.  You can’t go very fast looking out the rearview mirror…and that would be dangerous besides.”

Jordan:  “Exactly.  If you go through life looking mostly through the rearview mirror, then you cannot go very fast and you’ll miss all the opportunities that lie ahead.”

Matt:  “Unless you look through the windshield, all those opportunities will pass you by.”

Jordan:  “Now you understand why I asked the question.”

Matt:  “What about addressing problems from the past?”

blameJordan:  “I’m not trying to discount the problems of the past.  Blaming someone else for those problems might make you feel good.  However, running around blaming someone else for problems does not provide a solution.  The solution…”

Matt:  “…lies with the individual and lies ahead.  To solve the problem you’ve got to start looking through the windshield and quit spending all your time looking through the rearview mirror.”

(Continued)

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